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Red69
17643.3
318225.4
457210.7
Blue48
870923.0
109917.3
71617.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102850501506948

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+15Teleop
+25Endgame
+21Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave3
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points3
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +12
8Coral scored#6
30Coral points22
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
44Total teleop32
Reef
4L4#3
3L3#2
1L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#9
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +21
2Foul points6
69Total score48

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#8
43.33.3
41.237.9
Auto11.6
Teleop26.4
End5.2
red by 20.3
8709
#28
23.04.7
26.722.0
Auto5.6
Teleop16.1
End1.2
Second
3182
#21
25.43.3
25.422.2
Auto3.9
Teleop15.0
End6.6
red by 8.1
1099
#29
17.34.7
22.417.8
Auto4.3
Teleop9.3
End3.7
Third
4572
#31
10.73.3
21.117.8
Auto5.1
Teleop4.5
End1.1
blue by 6.3
716
#30
17.04.7
26.622.0
Auto3.3
Teleop11.5
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsMissed52%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsEarned40%Barge oddsEarned