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Red125
17643.3
740765.2
199122.1
Blue89
15535.3
870923.0
23734.9
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1561055020012589

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+28Teleop
+36Endgame
+36Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave6
5Coral scored#3
24Coral points17
33Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +18
13Coral scored#11
46Coral points40
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#2
12Processor points12
20Net points8
32Algae points20
78Total teleop60
Reef
5L4#3
7L3#3
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
25Game pieces#18
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +36
0Foul points0
125Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.20.1
65.265.1
Auto20.4
Teleop34.9
End10.0
red by 29.9
155
#7
35.30.1
35.535.4
Auto9.4
Teleop23.6
End2.3
Second
176
#8
43.30.1
43.343.1
Auto11.6
Teleop26.4
End5.2
red by 8.4
237
#5
34.90.1
35.235.1
Auto6.8
Teleop25.1
End2.9
Third
1991
#26
22.10.1
22.122.0
Auto4.1
Teleop15.3
End2.7
blue by 0.9
8709
#28
23.00.1
23.323.1
Auto5.6
Teleop16.1
End1.2