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Red55
356618.7
363418.8
17725.5
Blue102
808533.0
318225.4
22830.2
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6296020408012014016055102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+25
Endgame+47
Fouls+47
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave6
3Coral scored#1
15Coral points6
15Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +28
5Coral scored#12
18Coral points44
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
6Processor points12
12Net points8
18Algae points20
36Total teleop64
Reef
3L4#4
3L3#5
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +47
0Foul points0
55Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177
#16
25.50.2
25.725.5
Auto6.9
Teleop13.4
End5.1
blue by 7.5
8085
#15
33.00.3
32.833.1
Auto4.3
Teleop23.3
End5.3
Second
3634
#10
18.80.2
19.018.8
Auto5.5
Teleop9.6
End3.7
blue by 11.4
228
#6
30.20.3
30.130.4
Auto4.1
Teleop18.4
End7.7
Third
3566
#20
18.70.2
18.918.7
Auto2.5
Teleop14.7
End1.5
blue by 6.7
3182
#21
25.40.3
25.325.6
Auto3.9
Teleop15.0
End6.6