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Red43
42924.4
786930.6
216831.2
Blue64
99929.0
83935.7
1024518.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9792501502004364

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+11
Endgame+21
Fouls+21
Autonomouslevel
3Leave9
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points3
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +11
5Coral scored#8
17Coral points30
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
6Processor points0
4Net points8
10Algae points8
27Total teleop38
Reef
2L4#3
2L3#3
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +21
0Foul points0
43Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2168
#19
31.21.1
32.331.2
Auto4.7
Teleop25.6
End0.9
blue by 4.5
839
#9
35.70.5
36.736.1
Auto5.3
Teleop23.8
End6.6
Second
7869
#33
30.61.1
31.730.6
Auto2.0
Teleop29.0
End-0.4
red by 1.6
999
#4
29.00.5
30.029.4
Auto5.8
Teleop19.5
End3.7
Third
429
#12
24.41.1
25.524.4
Auto4.9
Teleop14.5
End5.0
red by 6.4
18.00.5
19.018.5
Auto5.7
Teleop9.4
End3.0