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Red127
107330.8
888926.8
514237.5
Blue108
808533.0
318225.4
22830.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101936080120140160180127108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+31Teleop
+21Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave0
4Coral scored#2
19Coral points9
19Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +21
16Coral scored#15
56Coral points53
2Processor algae#1
6Net algae#3
12Processor points6
24Net points12
36Algae points18
92Total teleop71
Reef
7L4#5
7L3#5
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +19
0Foul points2
127Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5142
#14
37.50.7
36.837.5
Auto8.0
Teleop25.7
End3.8
red by 4.6
8085
#15
33.00.4
32.532.8
Auto4.3
Teleop23.3
End5.3
Second
30.80.7
30.130.8
Auto4.4
Teleop18.8
End7.6
red by 0.6
228
#6
30.20.4
29.730.1
Auto4.1
Teleop18.4
End7.7
Third
8889
#23
26.80.7
26.126.8
Auto5.7
Teleop20.4
End0.8
red by 1.4
3182
#21
25.40.4
24.925.3
Auto3.9
Teleop15.0
End6.6