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Red263
170692.6
86275.2
366386.0
Blue277
347880.5
327684.2
177189.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions267261100150200300350400450263277

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+20
Endgame+20
Fouls+14
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave9
8Coral scored#10
42Coral points49
51Total auto58
TeleoperatedBlue +13
31Coral scored#35
112Coral points127
3Processor algae#4
10Net algae#8
18Processor points24
40Net points32
58Algae points56
170Total teleop183
Reef
15L4#17
11L3#10
6L2#11
7L1 · trough#7
52Game pieces#57
Bargelevel
36Cage & park36
36Total endgame36
Penalties & totalBlue +14
6Foul points0
263Total score277

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1706
#36
92.60.1
92.592.6
Auto21.7
Teleop60.0
End10.9
red by 2.7
89.90.5
89.489.9
Auto27.2
Teleop52.2
End10.5
Second
86.00.1
85.986.0
Auto18.0
Teleop56.5
End11.5
red by 1.8
3276
#42
84.20.5
83.784.2
Auto11.0
Teleop62.0
End11.2
Third
862
#37
75.20.1
75.175.2
Auto16.0
Teleop45.8
End13.3
blue by 5.4
3478
#29
80.50.5
80.080.5
Auto19.0
Teleop50.5
End11.1