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Red162
683828.0
300592.2
7555.6
Blue267
464667.5
6781.0
177189.9
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions191249150300350162267

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+75
Endgame+105
Fouls+105
AutonomousBlue +28
0Leave6
7Coral scored#12
37Coral points59
37Total auto65
TeleoperatedBlue +47
21Coral scored#33
77Coral points120
3Processor algae#3
6Net algae#7
18Processor points18
24Net points28
42Algae points46
119Total teleop166
Reef
9L4#20
6L3#14
9L2#6
4L1 · trough#5
37Game pieces#55
BargeBlue +30
6Cage & park36
6Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +105
0Foul points0
162Total score267

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3005
#26
92.22.0
91.689.5
Auto19.8
Teleop61.8
End10.6
red by 2.3
89.91.7
91.393.0
Auto27.2
Teleop52.2
End10.5
Second
75
#43
55.62.0
50.148.1
Auto13.4
Teleop36.1
End6.2
blue by 25.4
67
#12
81.01.7
81.683.3
Auto19.3
Teleop51.1
End10.5
Third
6838
#67
28.02.0
39.437.4
Auto6.8
Teleop20.8
End0.4
blue by 39.5
67.51.7
57.559.1
Auto13.3
Teleop46.3
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
54%Coral oddsEarned98%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
89%Barge oddsMissed97%Barge oddsEarned