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Red178
851365.6
149860.3
264037.3
Blue106
1065619.5
565439.0
348741.4
98%Model gave it2%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18310350150200250178106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+80Teleop
+72Endgame
+72Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
0Leave3
9Coral scored#3
44Coral points13
44Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +52
20Coral scored#18
72Coral points66
4Processor algae#1
8Net algae#1
24Processor points6
32Net points4
56Algae points10
128Total teleop76
Reef
11L4#8
6L3#5
7L2#3
5L1 · trough#5
41Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +72
0Foul points0
178Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8513
#22
65.60.2
64.664.8
Auto19.5
Teleop35.1
End11.0
red by 24.2
3487
#48
41.40.7
37.636.9
Auto6.3
Teleop31.3
End3.7
Second
1498
#71
60.30.2
58.658.9
Auto13.8
Teleop39.3
End7.2
red by 21.4
5654
#49
39.00.7
28.427.7
Auto11.0
Teleop20.5
End7.5
Third
2640
#70
37.30.2
27.427.6
Auto4.9
Teleop27.2
End5.2
red by 17.8
19.50.7
24.523.8
Auto3.1
Teleop10.3
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
44%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
92%Barge oddsMissed70%Barge oddsMissed