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Red133
264231.7
34064.1
642133.5
Blue61
202252.4
453450.1
940150.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14816010020025013361

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+56Teleop
+70Endgame
+72Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
6Leave6
6Coral scored#1
31Coral points3
37Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +28
15Coral scored#10
54Coral points36
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
78Total teleop50
Reef
7L4#4
6L3#3
4L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#14
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +72
2Foul points0
133Total score61

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
340
#7
64.11.0
71.270.3
Auto16.9
Teleop38.6
End8.6
red by 11.7
2022
#64
52.46.1
53.147.0
Auto7.5
Teleop42.6
End2.3
Second
6421
#61
33.51.0
40.839.9
Auto8.2
Teleop20.3
End4.9
blue by 17.1
9401
#75
50.56.1
48.842.7
Auto12.9
Teleop32.0
End5.7
Third
2642
#62
31.71.0
33.832.8
Auto6.5
Teleop23.0
End2.2
blue by 18.4
4534
#65
50.16.1
50.144.0
Auto14.2
Teleop35.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
27%Coral oddsEarned39%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
64%Barge oddsEarned49%Barge oddsMissed