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Red200
87057.0
10363.4
580462.7
Blue243
86275.2
546077.7
944273.0
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions196225140160180240260280200243

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+33
Endgame+43
Fouls+43
AutonomousBlue +8
3Leave9
5Coral scored#6
26Coral points28
29Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +25
35Coral scored#34
127Coral points122
2Processor algae#5
4Net algae#7
12Processor points30
16Net points28
28Algae points58
155Total teleop180
Reef
11L4#17
16L3#9
5L2#8
8L1 · trough#6
46Game pieces#52
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +43
0Foul points0
200Total score243

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
103
#30
63.40.2
64.564.7
Auto7.3
Teleop51.8
End4.3
blue by 14.3
5460
#11
77.71.1
70.171.2
Auto22.3
Teleop49.4
End6.1
Second
5804
#33
62.70.2
56.857.0
Auto11.4
Teleop40.8
End10.5
blue by 12.5
862
#37
75.21.1
73.074.1
Auto16.0
Teleop45.8
End13.3
Third
870
#28
57.00.2
64.564.7
Auto13.7
Teleop36.1
End7.2
blue by 16.0
9442
#52
73.01.1
71.973.0
Auto13.9
Teleop57.7
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
39%Coral oddsEarned95%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned92%Barge oddsEarned