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Red244
553044.5
366386.0
284772.0
Blue192
581375.0
419243.2
16665.3
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions221175100150200250300244192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+42Teleop
+52Endgame
+52Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave9
13Coral scored#8
65Coral points42
65Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +28
23Coral scored#20
83Coral points73
6Processor algae#3
6Net algae#6
36Processor points18
24Net points24
60Algae points42
143Total teleop115
Reef
14L4#13
10L3#5
8L2#7
4L1 · trough#3
48Game pieces#37
BargeRed +10
36Cage & park26
36Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +52
0Foul points0
244Total score192

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
86.01.8
82.284.1
Auto18.0
Teleop56.5
End11.5
red by 11.0
5813
#14
75.00.6
74.975.6
Auto17.7
Teleop48.1
End9.2
Second
2847
#23
72.01.8
68.970.7
Auto20.0
Teleop42.4
End9.5
red by 6.7
166
#25
65.30.6
57.558.1
Auto13.7
Teleop41.5
End10.1
Third
5530
#53
44.51.8
54.055.8
Auto10.0
Teleop33.0
End1.5
red by 1.3
4192
#66
43.20.6
38.939.5
Auto9.7
Teleop30.2
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
92%Coral oddsEarned76%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
98%Barge oddsEarned98%Barge oddsEarned