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Red206
353965.0
139158.6
702865.4
Blue163
85853.1
310053.8
423766.3
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions202172100150250206163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+31Teleop
+43Endgame
+43Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
9Leave9
7Coral scored#5
35Coral points24
44Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +20
33Coral scored#28
120Coral points102
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
6Processor points12
20Net points12
26Algae points24
146Total teleop126
Reef
8L4#12
15L3#10
9L2#6
8L1 · trough#5
46Game pieces#38
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +43
0Foul points0
206Total score163

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.40.4
56.757.1
Auto14.7
Teleop40.4
End10.3
blue by 0.9
4237
#34
66.30.6
60.960.3
Auto16.1
Teleop45.1
End5.2
Second
3539
#27
65.00.4
70.270.6
Auto16.8
Teleop41.8
End6.4
red by 11.2
3100
#40
53.80.6
51.450.8
Auto5.2
Teleop40.6
End8.0
Third
1391
#45
58.60.4
62.362.7
Auto13.0
Teleop36.1
End9.6
red by 5.6
858
#55
53.10.6
49.148.4
Auto11.2
Teleop41.4
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
78%Coral oddsEarned53%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned45%Barge oddsMissed