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Red152
347880.5
635236.9
132932.5
Blue118
425639.9
511240.1
694156.0
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15212750100200152118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+44Teleop
+32Endgame
+34Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave6
5Coral scored#4
24Coral points20
30Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +40
26Coral scored#15
94Coral points54
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
6Processor points6
16Net points16
22Algae points22
116Total teleop76
Reef
8L4#6
7L3#4
10L2#5
6L1 · trough#4
36Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +34
2Foul points0
152Total score118

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3478
#29
80.50.5
77.077.5
Auto19.0
Teleop50.5
End11.1
red by 24.6
6941
#73
56.00.5
50.349.8
Auto12.5
Teleop37.3
End6.2
Second
6352
#68
36.90.6
31.432.0
Auto7.5
Teleop21.8
End7.5
blue by 3.2
5112
#60
40.10.3
31.931.6
Auto4.6
Teleop32.5
End3.1
Third
1329
#69
32.50.6
28.028.6
Auto4.1
Teleop27.2
End1.1
blue by 7.4
4256
#72
39.90.3
35.535.1
Auto9.6
Teleop25.0
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
49%Coral oddsMissed24%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
97%Barge oddsMissed62%Barge oddsEarned