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Red201
306166.9
479562.2
702865.4
Blue195
331357.9
2780.8
580462.7
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19621350100150250300350201195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
+26Teleop
+6Endgame
+6Fouls
AutonomousBlue +21
6Leave6
6Coral scored#10
31Coral points52
37Total auto58
TeleoperatedRed +47
30Coral scored#21
108Coral points77
4Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
24Processor points12
16Net points12
40Algae points24
148Total teleop101
Reef
14L4#11
8L3#8
9L2#8
5L1 · trough#4
44Game pieces#36
BargeBlue +20
16Cage & park36
16Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +6
0Foul points0
201Total score195

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3061
#63
66.91.2
62.463.6
Auto17.0
Teleop45.1
End4.8
blue by 13.9
27
#18
80.80.1
75.775.7
Auto18.6
Teleop51.4
End10.8
Second
65.41.2
61.762.9
Auto14.7
Teleop40.4
End10.3
red by 2.7
5804
#33
62.70.1
60.160.2
Auto11.4
Teleop40.8
End10.5
Third
4795
#46
62.21.2
58.960.1
Auto10.9
Teleop50.2
End1.1
red by 4.3
3313
#56
57.90.1
58.058.1
Auto14.4
Teleop34.4
End9.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
41%Coral oddsEarned86%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
66%Barge oddsEarned97%Barge oddsEarned