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Red181
944273.0
6781.0
350155.8
Blue243
347880.5
284772.0
327684.2
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions225246200300181243

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+42
Endgame+62
Fouls+62
AutonomousBlue +17
3Leave9
7Coral scored#9
34Coral points45
37Total auto54
TeleoperatedBlue +25
22Coral scored#26
80Coral points95
4Processor algae#3
6Net algae#10
24Processor points18
24Net points40
48Algae points58
128Total teleop153
Reef
15L4#14
6L3#11
4L2#5
4L1 · trough#5
39Game pieces#48
BargeBlue +20
16Cage & park36
16Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +62
0Foul points0
181Total score243

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#12
81.02.2
83.381.1
Auto19.3
Teleop51.1
End10.5
blue by 3.3
3276
#42
84.20.6
80.981.6
Auto11.0
Teleop62.0
End11.2
Second
9442
#52
73.02.2
73.371.1
Auto13.9
Teleop57.7
End1.4
blue by 7.6
3478
#29
80.50.6
80.180.7
Auto19.0
Teleop50.5
End11.1
Third
3501
#39
55.82.2
57.555.3
Auto13.9
Teleop40.0
End1.8
blue by 16.2
2847
#23
72.00.6
72.573.1
Auto20.0
Teleop42.4
End9.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
85%Coral oddsEarned94%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsEarned99%Barge oddsEarned