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Red149
425639.9
635236.9
264231.7
Blue244
888473.3
402079.5
461173.7
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions108267050150200300350400149244

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+83
Endgame+93
Fouls+95
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave3
6Coral scored#10
28Coral points48
37Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +69
20Coral scored#30
72Coral points107
1Processor algae#4
2Net algae#6
6Processor points24
8Net points24
14Algae points48
86Total teleop155
Reef
6L4#16
10L3#9
6L2#9
4L1 · trough#6
29Game pieces#50
BargeBlue +10
26Cage & park36
26Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +95
0Foul points2
149Total score244

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4256
#72
39.91.2
37.638.8
Auto9.6
Teleop25.0
End5.3
blue by 39.6
4020
#17
79.50.7
79.178.4
Auto21.4
Teleop47.7
End10.4
Second
6352
#68
36.91.2
35.236.4
Auto7.5
Teleop21.8
End7.5
blue by 36.8
73.70.7
75.975.2
Auto18.5
Teleop46.3
End9.0
Third
2642
#62
31.71.2
36.838.0
Auto6.5
Teleop23.0
End2.2
blue by 41.7
73.30.7
74.573.9
Auto18.2
Teleop47.5
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed99%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
68%Barge oddsEarned93%Barge oddsEarned