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Red195
642133.5
702865.4
16665.3
Blue181
264037.3
7555.6
944273.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions167163130140150180190200195181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+2
+8Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave9
8Coral scored#6
41Coral points31
44Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +6
24Coral scored#17
85Coral points61
2Processor algae#5
3Net algae#6
12Processor points30
12Net points24
24Algae points54
109Total teleop115
Reef
11L4#11
9L3#5
7L2#3
5L1 · trough#4
37Game pieces#34
BargeRed +10
36Cage & park26
36Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
6Foul points0
195Total score181

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.41.9
57.158.9
Auto14.7
Teleop40.4
End10.3
blue by 7.6
9442
#52
73.01.8
73.074.8
Auto13.9
Teleop57.7
End1.4
Second
166
#25
65.31.9
58.160.0
Auto13.7
Teleop41.5
End10.1
red by 9.7
75
#43
55.61.8
48.149.9
Auto13.4
Teleop36.1
End6.2
Third
6421
#61
33.51.9
39.941.7
Auto8.2
Teleop20.3
End4.9
blue by 3.8
2640
#70
37.31.8
27.629.4
Auto4.9
Teleop27.2
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
28%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned28%Barge oddsEarned