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Red189
264231.7
960968.7
8881.0
Blue197
170692.6
35984.8
1065619.5
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions192216150250300189197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+2Teleop
Endgame+8
Fouls+8
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave3
8Coral scored#10
41Coral points48
47Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +6
27Coral scored#19
98Coral points70
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#8
12Processor points18
16Net points32
28Algae points50
126Total teleop120
Reef
14L4#10
10L3#10
6L2#6
5L1 · trough#3
41Game pieces#40
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
0Foul points0
189Total score197

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88
#20
81.00.2
81.081.2
Auto18.3
Teleop53.9
End8.8
blue by 11.6
1706
#36
92.60.2
83.483.2
Auto21.7
Teleop60.0
End10.9
Second
9609
#31
68.70.2
64.264.4
Auto12.0
Teleop48.4
End8.4
blue by 16.1
359
#10
84.80.2
83.983.7
Auto17.3
Teleop54.0
End13.5
Third
2642
#62
31.70.2
32.833.0
Auto6.5
Teleop23.0
End2.2
red by 12.2
19.50.2
23.823.6
Auto3.1
Teleop10.3
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
62%Coral oddsMissed96%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
89%Barge oddsEarned99%Barge oddsEarned