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Red168
442261.2
306166.9
46957.9
Blue192
317570.7
745797.1
1051825.1
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17720150100150250300168192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+28
Endgame+28
Fouls+24
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave3
7Coral scored#10
37Coral points48
37Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +14
21Coral scored#17
77Coral points61
3Processor algae#6
4Net algae#7
18Processor points36
16Net points28
34Algae points64
111Total teleop125
Reef
10L4#9
10L3#6
5L2#4
3L1 · trough#8
35Game pieces#40
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +24
4Foul points0
168Total score192

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3061
#63
66.90.1
52.652.5
Auto17.0
Teleop45.1
End4.8
blue by 30.2
97.10.5
94.394.9
Auto24.6
Teleop62.2
End10.2
Second
4422
#44
61.20.1
55.455.3
Auto13.4
Teleop39.4
End8.4
blue by 9.6
3175
#32
70.70.5
73.173.6
Auto15.0
Teleop48.0
End7.7
Third
469
#47
57.90.1
57.757.6
Auto17.3
Teleop36.7
End3.8
red by 32.7
25.10.5
16.617.1
Auto5.4
Teleop16.6
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
61%Coral oddsMissed71%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
88%Barge oddsEarned92%Barge oddsEarned