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Red150
694853.3
204682.6
1003217.5
Blue202
335445.0
402079.5
126163.8
10%Model gave it90%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions143186100200250150202

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+34
Endgame+46
Fouls+52
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave0
6Coral scored#7
32Coral points37
41Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +38
23Coral scored#30
81Coral points107
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#6
12Processor points12
12Net points24
24Algae points36
105Total teleop143
Reef
9L4#15
11L3#10
5L2#6
4L1 · trough#6
34Game pieces#45
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +52
0Foul points6
150Total score202

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2046
#15
82.60.9
78.779.6
Auto17.3
Teleop57.3
End8.1
red by 3.1
4020
#17
79.51.0
73.274.1
Auto21.4
Teleop47.7
End10.4
Second
6948
#54
53.31.3
37.138.4
Auto10.8
Teleop40.2
End2.3
blue by 10.5
1261
#13
63.81.0
59.360.3
Auto19.3
Teleop41.8
End2.6
Third
17.50.9
9.910.7
Auto3.8
Teleop11.9
End1.8
blue by 27.6
3354
#59
45.01.0
38.039.0
Auto8.2
Teleop35.8
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
37%Coral oddsEarned72%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
50%Barge oddsMissed57%Barge oddsEarned