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Red203
461173.7
851365.6
694853.3
Blue191
661561.5
86275.2
331357.9
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions194211100150250300350203191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
0Teleop0
+12Endgame
+12Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave9
8Coral scored#7
41Coral points35
44Total auto44
Teleoperatedlevel
20Coral scored#28
71Coral points99
5Processor algae#3
8Net algae#4
30Processor points18
32Net points16
62Algae points34
133Total teleop133
Reef
8L4#11
8L3#11
8L2#5
4L1 · trough#8
41Game pieces#42
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
0Foul points0
203Total score191

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
73.71.1
76.177.2
Auto18.5
Teleop46.3
End9.0
blue by 1.4
862
#37
75.20.5
74.173.6
Auto16.0
Teleop45.8
End13.3
Second
8513
#22
65.61.1
64.865.8
Auto19.5
Teleop35.1
End11.0
red by 4.0
6615
#57
61.50.5
63.963.4
Auto13.5
Teleop47.9
End0.1
Third
6948
#54
53.31.4
38.439.8
Auto10.8
Teleop40.2
End2.3
blue by 4.6
3313
#56
57.90.5
52.051.5
Auto14.4
Teleop34.4
End9.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
77%Coral oddsEarned76%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
68%Barge oddsEarned96%Barge oddsMissed