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Red193
126163.8
346775.4
146636.6
Blue169
1051825.1
306166.9
202252.4
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18512050100150200250193169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+24Teleop
+24Endgame
+24Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
3Leave0
10Coral scored#7
51Coral points37
54Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +7
26Coral scored#25
93Coral points90
3Processor algae#3
3Net algae#2
18Processor points18
12Net points8
30Algae points26
123Total teleop116
Reef
10L4#8
7L3#9
11L2#8
8L1 · trough#7
42Game pieces#37
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +24
0Foul points0
193Total score169

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3467
#24
75.41.0
69.470.4
Auto14.4
Teleop51.8
End9.2
red by 8.5
3061
#63
66.92.4
52.554.9
Auto17.0
Teleop45.1
End4.8
Second
1261
#13
63.81.0
60.361.3
Auto19.3
Teleop41.8
End2.6
red by 11.4
2022
#64
52.42.4
47.049.4
Auto7.5
Teleop42.6
End2.3
Third
1466
#41
36.61.0
31.432.3
Auto6.7
Teleop28.9
End1.0
red by 11.4
25.12.4
17.119.5
Auto5.4
Teleop16.6
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
81%Coral oddsEarned51%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
53%Barge oddsEarned35%Barge oddsEarned