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Red215
46957.9
453450.1
327684.2
Blue160
107361.3
132932.5
35984.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19918050100150250300215160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+65Teleop
+55Endgame
+55Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
3Leave0
10Coral scored#7
48Coral points33
51Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +47
31Coral scored#17
112Coral points61
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#7
12Processor points12
24Net points28
36Algae points40
148Total teleop101
Reef
12L4#8
15L3#5
8L2#5
6L1 · trough#6
49Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +55
0Foul points0
215Total score160

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3276
#42
84.21.3
82.784.0
Auto11.0
Teleop62.0
End11.2
blue by 0.6
359
#10
84.81.1
83.782.6
Auto17.3
Teleop54.0
End13.5
Second
469
#47
57.91.3
57.658.9
Auto17.3
Teleop36.7
End3.8
blue by 3.4
1073
#21
61.31.1
52.951.8
Auto15.6
Teleop35.6
End10.1
Third
4534
#65
50.11.3
44.045.3
Auto14.2
Teleop35.1
End0.8
red by 17.6
1329
#69
32.51.2
28.627.4
Auto4.1
Teleop27.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
58%Coral oddsEarned77%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
67%Barge oddsEarned99%Barge oddsEarned