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Red177
960968.7
335445.0
85853.1
Blue212
6781.0
114849.7
402079.5
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions153227100200250300177212

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+25
Teleop+13
Endgame+35
Fouls+35
AutonomousBlue +25
0Leave0
5Coral scored#10
26Coral points51
26Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +12
31Coral scored#23
113Coral points83
3Processor algae#4
4Net algae#7
18Processor points24
16Net points28
34Algae points52
147Total teleop135
Reef
12L4#12
12L3#11
5L2#6
7L1 · trough#4
43Game pieces#44
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +35
0Foul points0
177Total score212

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9609
#31
68.70.9
64.465.3
Auto12.0
Teleop48.4
End8.4
blue by 12.3
67
#12
81.00.4
83.382.9
Auto19.3
Teleop51.1
End10.5
Second
858
#55
53.10.9
48.449.4
Auto11.2
Teleop41.4
End0.4
blue by 26.4
4020
#17
79.50.4
74.173.7
Auto21.4
Teleop47.7
End10.4
Third
3354
#59
45.00.9
39.039.9
Auto8.2
Teleop35.8
End1.0
blue by 4.6
1148
#38
49.70.4
49.348.9
Auto9.9
Teleop34.7
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
58%Coral oddsMissed89%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
66%Barge oddsMissed96%Barge oddsEarned