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Red221
565439.0
317570.7
204682.6
Blue244
8881.0
177189.9
888473.3
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions193259150300350221244

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+17
Endgame+27
Fouls+23
AutonomousBlue +21
0Leave9
9Coral scored#11
44Coral points56
44Total auto65
TeleoperatedRed +4
27Coral scored#29
97Coral points103
3Processor algae#4
8Net algae#4
18Processor points24
32Net points16
50Algae points40
147Total teleop143
Reef
12L4#15
10L3#9
6L2#10
8L1 · trough#6
47Game pieces#48
BargeBlue +10
26Cage & park36
26Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
4Foul points0
221Total score244

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2046
#15
82.61.5
79.681.0
Auto17.3
Teleop57.3
End8.1
blue by 7.3
89.91.0
93.092.1
Auto27.2
Teleop52.2
End10.5
Second
3175
#32
70.71.5
73.675.1
Auto15.0
Teleop48.0
End7.7
blue by 10.3
88
#20
81.01.0
81.280.2
Auto18.3
Teleop53.9
End8.8
Third
5654
#49
39.01.5
27.729.2
Auto11.0
Teleop20.5
End7.5
blue by 34.4
73.31.0
70.769.7
Auto18.2
Teleop47.5
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
81%Coral oddsEarned97%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
85%Barge oddsEarned98%Barge oddsEarned