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Red193
1015433.5
860871.5
423766.3
Blue206
1003217.5
745797.1
694156.0
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions186170100120140160200220240260193206

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+5
Endgame+13
Fouls+13
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave0
7Coral scored#7
35Coral points37
44Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +12
25Coral scored#26
91Coral points95
3Processor algae#3
6Net algae#8
18Processor points18
24Net points32
42Algae points50
133Total teleop145
Reef
14L4#13
8L3#10
7L2#6
3L1 · trough#4
41Game pieces#44
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
0Foul points0
193Total score206

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8608
#35
71.50.8
71.572.4
Auto19.5
Teleop41.5
End10.5
blue by 25.6
97.12.5
94.997.3
Auto24.6
Teleop62.2
End10.2
Second
4237
#34
66.30.8
60.361.1
Auto16.1
Teleop45.1
End5.2
red by 10.3
6941
#73
56.03.3
49.853.1
Auto12.5
Teleop37.3
End6.2
Third
33.50.9
33.834.8
Auto3.6
Teleop25.5
End4.4
red by 16.0
17.52.5
10.713.2
Auto3.8
Teleop11.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
44%Coral oddsMissed66%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
86%Barge oddsEarned90%Barge oddsEarned