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Red207
350155.8
940150.5
716673.8
Blue157
425639.9
448178.5
264037.3
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions171147050100200250300350207157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+50Teleop
+50Endgame
+50Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave9
8Coral scored#6
41Coral points28
44Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +43
21Coral scored#19
77Coral points68
5Processor algae#2
8Net algae#4
30Processor points12
32Net points16
62Algae points28
139Total teleop96
Reef
9L4#9
12L3#9
4L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
42Game pieces#31
Bargelevel
24Cage & park24
24Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +50
0Foul points0
207Total score157

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7166
#19
73.82.7
70.473.1
Auto18.6
Teleop45.7
End9.4
blue by 4.7
4481
#16
78.50.7
78.979.6
Auto22.0
Teleop46.9
End9.6
Second
3501
#39
55.82.7
49.452.1
Auto13.9
Teleop40.0
End1.8
red by 15.9
4256
#72
39.90.7
32.833.6
Auto9.6
Teleop25.0
End5.3
Third
9401
#75
50.52.7
40.543.2
Auto12.9
Teleop32.0
End5.7
red by 13.3
2640
#70
37.30.7
29.430.1
Auto4.9
Teleop27.2
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
54%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
74%Barge oddsEarned80%Barge oddsEarned