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Red246
35984.8
114849.7
8881.0
Blue199
851365.6
202252.4
580462.7
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23418250100150200250300246199

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+15Auto
+45Teleop
+45Endgame
+47Fouls
AutonomousRed +15
9Leave6
8Coral scored#5
39Coral points27
48Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +30
25Coral scored#29
90Coral points104
4Processor algae#2
14Net algae#6
24Processor points12
56Net points24
80Algae points36
170Total teleop140
Reef
15L4#13
9L3#12
5L2#6
4L1 · trough#3
51Game pieces#42
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +47
2Foul points0
246Total score199

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#10
84.80.9
82.683.5
Auto17.3
Teleop54.0
End13.5
red by 19.2
8513
#22
65.60.4
65.866.2
Auto19.5
Teleop35.1
End11.0
Second
88
#20
81.00.9
80.281.1
Auto18.3
Teleop53.9
End8.8
red by 18.3
5804
#33
62.70.4
57.858.2
Auto11.4
Teleop40.8
End10.5
Third
1148
#38
49.70.9
48.949.8
Auto9.9
Teleop34.7
End5.0
blue by 2.7
2022
#64
52.40.4
49.449.8
Auto7.5
Teleop42.6
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
65%Coral oddsEarned76%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
99%Barge oddsEarned85%Barge oddsEarned