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Red187
402079.5
7555.6
419243.2
Blue265
170692.6
317570.7
86275.2
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions170259100150200300350187265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+52
Endgame+72
Fouls+78
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave9
8Coral scored#8
41Coral points42
44Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +45
23Coral scored#38
81Coral points136
3Processor algae#2
7Net algae#6
18Processor points12
28Net points24
46Algae points36
127Total teleop172
Reef
10L4#24
11L3#9
5L2#6
5L1 · trough#7
41Game pieces#54
BargeBlue +20
16Cage & park36
16Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +78
0Foul points6
187Total score265

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4020
#17
79.50.8
73.774.5
Auto21.4
Teleop47.7
End10.4
blue by 13.2
1706
#36
92.61.0
84.585.5
Auto21.7
Teleop60.0
End10.9
Second
75
#43
55.60.8
49.950.7
Auto13.4
Teleop36.1
End6.2
blue by 19.6
862
#37
75.21.0
73.674.5
Auto16.0
Teleop45.8
End13.3
Third
4192
#66
43.20.8
40.441.2
Auto9.7
Teleop30.2
End3.3
blue by 27.6
3175
#32
70.71.0
75.176.1
Auto15.0
Teleop48.0
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
45%Coral oddsEarned96%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
81%Barge oddsEarned98%Barge oddsEarned