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Red254
348741.4
745797.1
204682.6
Blue217
300592.2
642133.5
479562.2
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions240198150300254217

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+37Teleop
+37Endgame
+37Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
6Leave9
11Coral scored#6
55Coral points28
61Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +13
33Coral scored#24
117Coral points86
5Processor algae#6
5Net algae#8
30Processor points36
20Net points32
50Algae points68
167Total teleop154
Reef
19L4#13
8L3#8
11L2#7
6L1 · trough#2
54Game pieces#44
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +37
0Foul points0
254Total score217

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
97.11.6
97.398.9
Auto24.6
Teleop62.2
End10.2
red by 4.9
3005
#26
92.21.0
89.590.6
Auto19.8
Teleop61.8
End10.6
Second
2046
#15
82.61.6
81.082.6
Auto17.3
Teleop57.3
End8.1
red by 20.4
4795
#46
62.21.0
56.357.3
Auto10.9
Teleop50.2
End1.1
Third
3487
#48
41.41.6
37.739.3
Auto6.3
Teleop31.3
End3.7
red by 7.9
6421
#61
33.51.0
41.742.8
Auto8.2
Teleop20.3
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
86%Coral oddsEarned40%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
90%Barge oddsEarned69%Barge oddsEarned