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Red246
423766.3
177189.9
546077.7
Blue146
635236.9
1015433.5
126163.8
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25413650100200300350246146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+26Auto
+92Teleop
+102Endgame
+100Fouls
AutonomousRed +26
9Leave0
9Coral scored#6
46Coral points29
55Total auto29
TeleoperatedRed +66
36Coral scored#16
131Coral points59
3Processor algae#4
4Net algae#4
18Processor points24
16Net points16
34Algae points40
165Total teleop99
Reef
20L4#8
8L3#8
13L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
52Game pieces#30
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +100
0Foul points2
246Total score146

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
89.90.8
92.192.8
Auto27.2
Teleop52.2
End10.5
red by 26.1
1261
#13
63.80.2
61.361.5
Auto19.3
Teleop41.8
End2.6
Second
5460
#11
77.70.8
70.170.9
Auto22.3
Teleop49.4
End6.1
red by 40.8
6352
#68
36.90.2
33.233.5
Auto7.5
Teleop21.8
End7.5
Third
4237
#34
66.30.8
61.161.9
Auto16.1
Teleop45.1
End5.2
red by 32.8
33.50.2
34.835.0
Auto3.6
Teleop25.5
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
100%Auto oddsMissed94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
99%Coral oddsEarned18%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned69%Barge oddsEarned