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Red103
1015433.5
1051825.1
149860.3
Blue209
7555.6
310053.8
16665.3
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12318850100150250300103209

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+90
Endgame+100
Fouls+106
AutonomousBlue +24
9Leave0
1Coral scored#8
7Coral points40
16Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +66
16Coral scored#29
57Coral points105
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#5
6Processor points12
8Net points20
14Algae points32
71Total teleop137
Reef
5L4#10
4L3#12
4L2#10
4L1 · trough#5
20Game pieces#44
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +106
0Foul points6
103Total score209

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1498
#71
60.31.5
60.458.9
Auto13.8
Teleop39.3
End7.2
blue by 5.0
166
#25
65.32.3
61.864.1
Auto13.7
Teleop41.5
End10.1
Second
33.51.5
35.033.5
Auto3.6
Teleop25.5
End4.4
blue by 22.1
75
#43
55.62.3
50.753.0
Auto13.4
Teleop36.1
End6.2
Third
25.11.5
19.417.8
Auto5.4
Teleop16.6
End3.2
blue by 28.6
3100
#40
53.82.3
44.847.1
Auto5.2
Teleop40.6
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
17%Coral oddsMissed29%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
85%Barge oddsEarned96%Barge oddsEarned