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Red144
716673.8
1003217.5
635236.9
Blue184
580462.7
464667.5
565439.0
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13217250100150200250144184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+28
Endgame+30
Fouls+40
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave6
5Coral scored#5
23Coral points24
23Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +21
14Coral scored#21
49Coral points74
3Processor algae#3
7Net algae#6
18Processor points18
28Net points24
46Algae points42
95Total teleop116
Reef
8L4#9
4L3#9
3L2#5
4L1 · trough#3
29Game pieces#35
BargeBlue +2
24Cage & park26
24Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +40
2Foul points12
144Total score184

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7166
#19
73.80.8
70.871.6
Auto18.6
Teleop45.7
End9.4
red by 6.3
67.51.0
58.659.5
Auto13.3
Teleop46.3
End7.9
Second
6352
#68
36.90.8
33.534.3
Auto7.5
Teleop21.8
End7.5
blue by 25.8
5804
#33
62.71.0
58.259.2
Auto11.4
Teleop40.8
End10.5
Third
17.50.8
14.415.3
Auto3.8
Teleop11.9
End1.8
blue by 21.5
5654
#49
39.01.0
29.530.5
Auto11.0
Teleop20.5
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
22%Coral oddsMissed54%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
88%Barge oddsEarned88%Barge oddsEarned