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Red200
694853.3
114849.7
86275.2
Blue249
35984.8
366386.0
306166.9
10%Model gave it90%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions183253100150200300350200249

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+31
Teleop+53
Endgame+53
Fouls+49
AutonomousBlue +31
9Leave9
5Coral scored#11
25Coral points56
34Total auto65
TeleoperatedBlue +22
27Coral scored#22
98Coral points80
4Processor algae#8
3Net algae#7
24Processor points48
12Net points28
36Algae points76
134Total teleop156
Reef
10L4#10
9L3#6
6L2#9
7L1 · trough#8
39Game pieces#48
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +49
6Foul points2
200Total score249

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
862
#37
75.20.4
76.176.6
Auto16.0
Teleop45.8
End13.3
blue by 10.8
86.00.5
84.384.8
Auto18.0
Teleop56.5
End11.5
Second
6948
#54
53.30.4
45.145.5
Auto10.8
Teleop40.2
End2.3
blue by 31.5
359
#10
84.80.5
83.083.5
Auto17.3
Teleop54.0
End13.5
Third
1148
#38
49.70.4
52.352.7
Auto9.9
Teleop34.7
End5.0
blue by 17.3
3061
#63
66.90.5
58.659.1
Auto17.0
Teleop45.1
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsMissed99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
38%Coral oddsEarned98%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
92%Barge oddsEarned99%Barge oddsEarned