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Red181
1065619.5
425639.9
300592.2
Blue183
860871.5
765738.1
126163.8
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions172191100120140160180200220240181183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+18
Endgame+8
Fouls+2
Autonomouslevel
6Leave9
6Coral scored#6
31Coral points28
37Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +18
22Coral scored#21
80Coral points76
2Processor algae#3
5Net algae#9
12Processor points18
20Net points36
32Algae points54
112Total teleop130
Reef
12L4#10
8L3#7
5L2#5
3L1 · trough#5
35Game pieces#39
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
6Foul points0
181Total score183

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3005
#26
92.21.3
89.690.9
Auto19.8
Teleop61.8
End10.6
red by 20.7
8608
#35
71.50.4
72.773.1
Auto19.5
Teleop41.5
End10.5
Second
4256
#72
39.91.3
33.634.8
Auto9.6
Teleop25.0
End5.3
blue by 23.9
1261
#13
63.80.4
61.561.9
Auto19.3
Teleop41.8
End2.6
Third
19.51.3
21.322.6
Auto3.1
Teleop10.3
End6.0
blue by 18.6
7657
#50
38.10.4
31.431.8
Auto8.8
Teleop29.1
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
63%Coral oddsMissed51%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned76%Barge oddsEarned