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Red206
2780.8
565439.0
7555.6
Blue189
284772.0
694156.0
453450.1
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions182190120140160200220240260206189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
Teleop+3
+17Endgame
+17Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave9
10Coral scored#6
48Coral points28
51Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +17
21Coral scored#21
77Coral points74
3Processor algae#5
6Net algae#8
18Processor points30
24Net points32
42Algae points62
119Total teleop136
Reef
12L4#6
11L3#12
4L2#7
4L1 · trough#2
40Game pieces#40
BargeRed +20
36Cage & park16
36Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +17
0Foul points0
206Total score189

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#18
80.82.4
75.978.3
Auto18.6
Teleop51.4
End10.8
red by 8.8
2847
#23
72.00.3
72.472.7
Auto20.0
Teleop42.4
End9.5
Second
75
#43
55.62.4
53.055.3
Auto13.4
Teleop36.1
End6.2
blue by 0.4
6941
#73
56.00.3
52.652.9
Auto12.5
Teleop37.3
End6.2
Third
5654
#49
39.02.4
30.532.8
Auto11.0
Teleop20.5
End7.5
blue by 11.1
4534
#65
50.10.3
48.348.6
Auto14.2
Teleop35.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
81%Coral oddsEarned45%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
92%Barge oddsEarned77%Barge oddsEarned