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Red225
851365.6
716673.8
107361.3
Blue204
635236.9
581375.0
310053.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions215175100150200250300225204

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+11Teleop
+21Endgame
+21Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
6Leave9
10Coral scored#5
52Coral points24
58Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +14
22Coral scored#23
79Coral points81
6Processor algae#6
4Net algae#7
36Processor points36
16Net points28
52Algae points64
131Total teleop145
Reef
13L4#13
9L3#8
7L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
42Game pieces#41
BargeRed +10
36Cage & park26
36Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +21
0Foul points0
225Total score204

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7166
#19
73.81.5
71.673.1
Auto18.6
Teleop45.7
End9.4
blue by 1.2
5813
#14
75.02.4
76.178.4
Auto17.7
Teleop48.1
End9.2
Second
8513
#22
65.61.5
64.566.0
Auto19.5
Teleop35.1
End11.0
red by 11.8
3100
#40
53.82.4
47.149.5
Auto5.2
Teleop40.6
End8.0
Third
1073
#21
61.31.5
55.256.7
Auto15.6
Teleop35.6
End10.1
red by 24.4
6352
#68
36.92.4
34.336.6
Auto7.5
Teleop21.8
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
76%Coral oddsEarned66%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
99%Barge oddsEarned95%Barge oddsEarned