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Red248
716673.8
35984.8
402079.5
Blue248
346775.4
300592.2
10363.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2502590100200300400500600700800248248

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+32Auto
Teleop+16
Endgame+6
0Fouls0
AutonomousRed +32
6Leave3
13Coral scored#7
63Coral points34
69Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +48
26Coral scored#34
95Coral points123
3Processor algae#3
6Net algae#11
18Processor points18
24Net points44
42Algae points62
137Total teleop185
Reef
14L4#16
12L3#13
5L2#7
8L1 · trough#5
48Game pieces#55
BargeRed +10
36Cage & park26
36Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totallevel
6Foul points0
248Total score248

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#10
84.8
Auto17.3
Teleop54.0
End13.5
blue by 7.4
3005
#26
92.2
Auto19.8
Teleop61.8
End10.6
Second
4020
#17
79.5
Auto21.4
Teleop47.7
End10.4
red by 4.0
3467
#24
75.4
Auto14.4
Teleop51.8
End9.2
Third
7166
#19
73.8
Auto18.6
Teleop45.7
End9.4
red by 10.4
103
#30
63.4
Auto7.3
Teleop51.8
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
98%Coral oddsEarned99%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
100%Barge oddsEarned97%Barge oddsEarned