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Red220
170692.6
126163.8
565439.0
Blue260
702865.4
6781.0
581375.0
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions191248100150300350220260

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
Teleop+8
Endgame+28
Fouls+40
AutonomousRed +11
9Leave9
11Coral scored#9
56Coral points45
65Total auto54
TeleoperatedBlue +19
25Coral scored#35
91Coral points126
4Processor algae#2
6Net algae#5
24Processor points12
24Net points20
48Algae points32
139Total teleop158
Reef
13L4#18
13L3#11
3L2#9
7L1 · trough#6
46Game pieces#51
BargeBlue +20
16Cage & park36
16Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +40
0Foul points12
220Total score260

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1706
#36
92.61.9
86.087.9
Auto21.7
Teleop60.0
End10.9
red by 11.7
67
#12
81.00.9
85.386.2
Auto19.3
Teleop51.1
End10.5
Second
1261
#13
63.81.9
61.963.7
Auto19.3
Teleop41.8
End2.6
blue by 11.2
5813
#14
75.00.9
78.479.3
Auto17.7
Teleop48.1
End9.2
Third
5654
#49
39.01.9
32.834.7
Auto11.0
Teleop20.5
End7.5
blue by 26.4
65.40.9
59.760.6
Auto14.7
Teleop40.4
End10.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
85%Coral oddsEarned98%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
88%Barge oddsEarned99%Barge oddsEarned