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Red184
944273.0
132932.5
860871.5
Blue201
888473.3
204682.6
553044.5
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions190231150200250300350184201

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+9
Endgame+19
Fouls+17
AutonomousBlue +6
9Leave6
4Coral scored#6
21Coral points30
30Total auto36
TeleoperatedBlue +3
30Coral scored#29
108Coral points105
3Processor algae#4
5Net algae#5
18Processor points24
20Net points20
38Algae points44
146Total teleop149
Reef
8L4#14
13L3#8
8L2#7
5L1 · trough#6
42Game pieces#44
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +17
2Foul points0
184Total score201

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9442
#52
73.01.2
74.072.8
Auto13.9
Teleop57.7
End1.4
blue by 9.6
2046
#15
82.62.4
85.182.7
Auto17.3
Teleop57.3
End8.1
Second
8608
#35
71.51.2
73.171.9
Auto19.5
Teleop41.5
End10.5
blue by 1.8
73.32.4
70.468.0
Auto18.2
Teleop47.5
End7.7
Third
1329
#69
32.51.2
28.127.0
Auto4.1
Teleop27.2
End1.1
blue by 12.0
5530
#53
44.52.4
55.853.3
Auto10.0
Teleop33.0
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
25%Coral oddsMissed92%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
85%Barge oddsMissed86%Barge oddsEarned