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Red174
16665.3
632983.3
425639.9
Blue200
139158.6
745797.1
642133.5
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2042090100300400500600700800174200

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+10
Endgame+20
Fouls+26
AutonomousBlue +10
9Leave0
6Coral scored#10
32Coral points51
41Total auto51
Teleoperatedlevel
21Coral scored#23
75Coral points83
3Processor algae#3
6Net algae#4
18Processor points18
24Net points16
42Algae points34
117Total teleop117
Reef
14L4#11
6L3#12
4L2#5
3L1 · trough#5
36Game pieces#40
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +26
0Foul points6
174Total score200

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
83.31.1
88.287.1
Auto21.0
Teleop51.8
End10.5
blue by 13.8
97.10.1
97.196.9
Auto24.6
Teleop62.2
End10.2
Second
166
#25
65.31.1
64.163.0
Auto13.7
Teleop41.5
End10.1
red by 6.6
1391
#45
58.60.1
56.556.4
Auto13.0
Teleop36.1
End9.6
Third
4256
#72
39.91.1
34.833.8
Auto9.6
Teleop25.0
End5.3
red by 6.4
6421
#61
33.50.1
40.039.8
Auto8.2
Teleop20.3
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsMissed96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
68%Coral oddsMissed58%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
99%Barge oddsEarned96%Barge oddsEarned