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Red168
317570.7
331357.9
1003217.5
Blue200
347880.5
683828.0
960968.7
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15518950100250300168200

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+30
Endgame+32
Fouls+32
AutonomousBlue +17
6Leave9
3Coral scored#6
14Coral points28
20Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +13
17Coral scored#24
62Coral points85
6Processor algae#3
5Net algae#7
36Processor points18
20Net points28
56Algae points46
118Total teleop131
Reef
8L4#14
6L3#9
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#4
31Game pieces#40
BargeBlue +2
24Cage & park26
24Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +32
6Foul points6
168Total score200

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3175
#32
70.71.3
74.776.0
Auto15.0
Teleop48.0
End7.7
blue by 9.8
3478
#29
80.51.4
75.376.7
Auto19.0
Teleop50.5
End11.1
Second
3313
#56
57.91.3
53.054.3
Auto14.4
Teleop34.4
End9.0
blue by 10.8
9609
#31
68.71.4
64.966.3
Auto12.0
Teleop48.4
End8.4
Third
17.51.3
15.316.5
Auto3.8
Teleop11.9
End1.8
blue by 10.6
6838
#67
28.01.4
32.834.2
Auto6.8
Teleop20.8
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsMissed98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
26%Coral oddsMissed63%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
85%Barge oddsEarned95%Barge oddsEarned