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Red121
765738.1
146636.6
202252.4
Blue223
546077.7
461173.7
46957.9
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions119237050100150200300350121223

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+78
Endgame+102
Fouls+102
AutonomousBlue +24
9Leave9
2Coral scored#6
8Coral points32
17Total auto41
TeleoperatedBlue +54
22Coral scored#28
78Coral points102
2Processor algae#5
3Net algae#6
12Processor points30
12Net points24
24Algae points54
102Total teleop156
Reef
8L4#11
7L3#10
4L2#8
5L1 · trough#5
29Game pieces#45
BargeBlue +24
2Cage & park26
2Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +102
0Foul points0
121Total score223

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2022
#64
52.40.5
50.950.4
Auto7.5
Teleop42.6
End2.3
blue by 25.4
5460
#11
77.70.4
71.972.3
Auto22.3
Teleop49.4
End6.1
Second
7657
#50
38.10.5
31.831.3
Auto8.8
Teleop29.1
End0.2
blue by 35.6
73.70.4
77.477.8
Auto18.5
Teleop46.3
End9.0
Third
1466
#41
36.60.5
32.231.7
Auto6.7
Teleop28.9
End1.0
blue by 21.3
469
#47
57.90.4
53.854.2
Auto17.3
Teleop36.7
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsMissed98%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
50%Coral oddsMissed95%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed74%Barge oddsEarned