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Red157
87057.0
1065619.5
2780.8
Blue219
353965.0
34064.1
177189.9
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions182257100150200300157219

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+62
Endgame+62
Fouls+62
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave3
5Coral scored#8
27Coral points41
30Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +48
19Coral scored#22
69Coral points79
3Processor algae#8
6Net algae#8
18Processor points48
24Net points32
42Algae points80
111Total teleop159
Reef
10L4#8
5L3#10
5L2#7
4L1 · trough#5
33Game pieces#46
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +62
0Foul points0
157Total score219

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#18
80.81.6
78.376.6
Auto18.6
Teleop51.4
End10.8
blue by 9.1
89.91.6
90.789.0
Auto27.2
Teleop52.2
End10.5
Second
870
#28
57.01.6
65.463.8
Auto13.7
Teleop36.1
End7.2
blue by 8.0
3539
#27
65.01.6
67.866.1
Auto16.8
Teleop41.8
End6.4
Third
19.51.6
20.418.7
Auto3.1
Teleop10.3
End6.0
blue by 44.6
340
#7
64.11.6
68.767.0
Auto16.9
Teleop38.6
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned100%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
61%Coral oddsEarned99%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned99%Barge oddsEarned