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Red191
423766.3
448178.5
1051825.1
Blue156
348741.4
511240.1
284772.0
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions180173120140160200220240191156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+32Auto
+25Teleop
+35Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousRed +32
6Leave9
9Coral scored#2
45Coral points10
51Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +7
26Coral scored#21
94Coral points77
2Processor algae#4
2Net algae#5
12Processor points24
8Net points20
20Algae points44
114Total teleop121
Reef
12L4#9
7L3#5
11L2#5
5L1 · trough#4
39Game pieces#32
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +35
0Foul points0
191Total score156

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4481
#16
78.51.9
77.479.4
Auto22.0
Teleop46.9
End9.6
red by 6.5
2847
#23
72.00.1
72.772.8
Auto20.0
Teleop42.4
End9.5
Second
4237
#34
66.31.9
60.662.5
Auto16.1
Teleop45.1
End5.2
red by 24.9
3487
#48
41.40.1
40.840.9
Auto6.3
Teleop31.3
End3.7
Third
25.11.9
18.820.7
Auto5.4
Teleop16.6
End3.2
blue by 15.0
5112
#60
40.10.1
35.235.3
Auto4.6
Teleop32.5
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
35%Coral oddsMissed27%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
73%Barge oddsEarned68%Barge oddsEarned