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Red190
202252.4
366386.0
264231.7
Blue156
1003217.5
327684.2
7555.6
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19517050100150250300190156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+36Teleop
+36Endgame
+34Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
3Leave9
7Coral scored#2
37Coral points10
40Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +15
21Coral scored#24
74Coral points85
4Processor algae#3
9Net algae#4
24Processor points18
36Net points16
60Algae points34
134Total teleop119
Reef
11L4#9
7L3#9
5L2#4
5L1 · trough#4
41Game pieces#33
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +34
0Foul points2
190Total score156

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
86.00.2
84.885.1
Auto18.0
Teleop56.5
End11.5
red by 1.8
3276
#42
84.20.8
79.678.9
Auto11.0
Teleop62.0
End11.2
Second
2022
#64
52.40.2
50.450.6
Auto7.5
Teleop42.6
End2.3
blue by 3.2
75
#43
55.60.8
55.354.6
Auto13.4
Teleop36.1
End6.2
Third
2642
#62
31.70.2
37.037.3
Auto6.5
Teleop23.0
End2.2
red by 14.2
17.50.8
16.515.8
Auto3.8
Teleop11.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
85%Coral oddsEarned56%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
62%Barge oddsEarned86%Barge oddsEarned