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Red243
464667.5
331357.9
347880.5
Blue185
139158.6
264037.3
46957.9
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20615450100250300243185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+50Teleop
+60Endgame
+58Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave6
8Coral scored#9
41Coral points45
44Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +57
29Coral scored#20
103Coral points72
6Processor algae#3
6Net algae#4
36Processor points18
24Net points16
60Algae points34
163Total teleop106
Reef
18L4#11
6L3#10
9L2#3
4L1 · trough#5
49Game pieces#36
BargeRed +10
36Cage & park26
36Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +58
0Foul points2
243Total score185

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3478
#29
80.52.9
76.779.6
Auto19.0
Teleop50.5
End11.1
red by 21.9
1391
#45
58.61.9
56.458.3
Auto13.0
Teleop36.1
End9.6
Second
67.52.9
58.060.9
Auto13.3
Teleop46.3
End7.9
red by 9.6
469
#47
57.91.9
54.256.1
Auto17.3
Teleop36.7
End3.8
Third
3313
#56
57.92.9
54.357.1
Auto14.4
Teleop34.4
End9.0
red by 20.6
2640
#70
37.31.9
33.235.0
Auto4.9
Teleop27.2
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
68%Coral oddsEarned16%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
98%Barge oddsEarned57%Barge oddsEarned