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Red225
310053.8
888473.3
479562.2
Blue213
16665.3
694156.0
940150.5
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19916950100150250300225213

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
+10Teleop
+10Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave9
5Coral scored#7
27Coral points35
30Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +24
36Coral scored#25
131Coral points91
2Processor algae#4
6Net algae#7
12Processor points24
24Net points28
36Algae points52
167Total teleop143
Reef
17L4#9
11L3#12
8L2#8
5L1 · trough#3
49Game pieces#43
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
2Foul points0
225Total score213

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
73.32.3
68.070.3
Auto18.2
Teleop47.5
End7.7
red by 8.1
166
#25
65.32.7
63.065.7
Auto13.7
Teleop41.5
End10.1
Second
4795
#46
62.22.3
59.962.2
Auto10.9
Teleop50.2
End1.1
red by 6.2
6941
#73
56.02.7
52.955.6
Auto12.5
Teleop37.3
End6.2
Third
3100
#40
53.82.3
49.551.8
Auto5.2
Teleop40.6
End8.0
red by 3.2
9401
#75
50.52.7
45.548.2
Auto12.9
Teleop32.0
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
52%Coral oddsEarned26%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
54%Barge oddsEarned96%Barge oddsEarned