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Red247
546077.7
851365.6
85853.1
Blue238
306166.9
425639.9
170692.6
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions211194100150250300247238

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+19Teleop
+9Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
0Leave0
13Coral scored#9
65Coral points44
65Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +2
24Coral scored#33
86Coral points120
5Processor algae#1
10Net algae#8
30Processor points6
40Net points32
70Algae points38
156Total teleop158
Reef
17L4#12
9L3#16
5L2#10
6L1 · trough#4
52Game pieces#51
BargeBlue +10
26Cage & park36
26Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
0Foul points0
247Total score238

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5460
#11
77.73.2
72.375.4
Auto22.3
Teleop49.4
End6.1
blue by 14.9
1706
#36
92.63.1
87.991.0
Auto21.7
Teleop60.0
End10.9
Second
8513
#22
65.63.2
66.069.1
Auto19.5
Teleop35.1
End11.0
blue by 1.3
3061
#63
66.93.1
59.162.1
Auto17.0
Teleop45.1
End4.8
Third
858
#55
53.13.2
50.253.4
Auto11.2
Teleop41.4
End0.4
red by 13.2
4256
#72
39.93.1
33.836.8
Auto9.6
Teleop25.0
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
95%Coral oddsEarned86%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
57%Barge oddsEarned94%Barge oddsEarned