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Red212
453450.1
442261.2
745797.1
Blue178
114849.7
944273.0
765738.1
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions223165100150200250300212178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+26Teleop
+40Endgame
+34Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave9
8Coral scored#6
38Coral points31
44Total auto40
TeleoperatedRed +22
31Coral scored#28
112Coral points100
4Processor algae#3
4Net algae#3
24Processor points18
16Net points12
40Algae points30
152Total teleop130
Reef
16L4#8
9L3#11
10L2#8
4L1 · trough#7
47Game pieces#40
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +34
0Foul points6
212Total score178

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
97.10.2
96.996.7
Auto24.6
Teleop62.2
End10.2
red by 24.1
9442
#52
73.00.3
72.873.1
Auto13.9
Teleop57.7
End1.4
Second
4422
#44
61.20.2
58.258.0
Auto13.4
Teleop39.4
End8.4
red by 11.5
1148
#38
49.70.3
52.753.0
Auto9.9
Teleop34.7
End5.0
Third
4534
#65
50.10.2
48.648.4
Auto14.2
Teleop35.1
End0.8
red by 12.0
7657
#50
38.10.3
31.331.5
Auto8.8
Teleop29.1
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
63%Coral oddsEarned21%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
98%Barge oddsEarned47%Barge oddsMissed